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Grushka-Cockayne, Yael Lichtendahl, Kenneth C. Winkler, Robert L. Nau, Robert F. Paccagnini, Alessia Pinson, Pierre Pedregal, Diego J. Pedio, Manuela Pavia, José Manuel Panapakidis, Ioannis Panagiotelis, Anastasios Modis, Theodore Önkal, Dilek Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos Rapach, David E. Meeran, Sheik Martinez, Andrew B. Martin, Gael M. Makridakis, Spyros G. Litsiou, Konstantia Ramos, Patrícia Rostami-Tabar, Bahman Reade, J. James All co-authors forecasts prognoseverfahren probability opinion trimmed pool ensembles probabilities average extremizing anti quantile overconfident intervals bayesian evaluation rules interval use combined linear wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung competition extremize
Composed forecasting model opinion pool prediction intervals trimmed opinion linear opinion probability theory linear opinion pool bayesian ensembles overfit overconfident opinion pools calibration problem forecast evaluation decision making machine learning combining prediction intervals competition ensembles binary binary event event forecasts probability forecasts anti extremize quantile evaluation evaluation sensitivity sensitivity bracketing bracketing sharing sharing business business payoffs ensembles overfit overconfident forecasts forecasts combination pools crowd crowd calibration interval submissions trimmed average forecasting competitions base rate anti extremizing average forecast datasets demonstrate anti extremizes class proper proper scoring sensitive bracketing combined effect poorly calibrated increases variance cdf values decision analysis forecast aggregation generalized linear model estimation theory bayes statistik bayesian inference economic forecast expert combination wisdom of crowds voting rule competition forecasting forecasting practice practice extremizing extremizing antiextremizing antiextremizing bayesian forecasts future future bayesian forecasts appropriate extremize anti payoffs combining relative error scoring rules
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The information on the author is retrieved from: Entity Facts (by DNB = German National Library data service), DBPedia and Wikidata
Victor Richmond R. Jose Dr. Alternative spellings: Victor Richmond R. Jose Victor Richmond Jose Victor Richmond Jose Victor Jose
Profession Betriebswirt
Affiliations McDonough School of Business Fuqua School of Business
Q87592186
Publishing years Series Working papers / Harvard Business School, Division of Research (2) Darden Business School Working Paper (1) Faculty research papers / The Fuqua School of Business, Duke University (1) 
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