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Engelberg, Joseph Manski, Charles F. Henriksson, Matthew Bradley, Daniel Finer, David Andrew Gustafson, Matthew An, Li Wang, Baolian Manela, Asaf Kwasnica, Anthony M. Velthuis, Raisa Ko, K. Jeremy Sasseville, Caroline Jame, Russell All co-authors forecasters point distributions fed portfolio effect subjective probability professional tendency forecast prognose disposition findings prognoseverfahren bank interactions data driven partisanship financial regulators effects comparing predictions market mad money stock large increase news similar welfare price survey spf underlying tend favorable central surveys uncertainty attention wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung entscheidungstheorie nationaleinkommen inflationsrate taxi add new who people beliefs suggest regulation controls mandates use recommendations zentralbank finanzanalyse bankers hail insights did saw interpreting unknown regulating hidden madness case proxy document explained returns
Composed subjective probability probability distributions professional forecasters point forecasts disposition effect forecasting model comparing point point predictions predictions subjective distributions professional mad money underlying distributions central tendency probability theory decision theory entscheidung unter unsicherheit decision under uncertainty national income inflation rate fed bank bank interactions portfolio driven driven disposition add costs price controls disclosure mandates central bank financial analysis bankers hail hail insights insights fed interactions taxi taxi data partisanship financial financial regulators did saw saw interpreting interpreting forecasts forecasts information information unknown effects regulating regulating hidden hidden add market madness madness case case mad effect document federal reserve market portfolio monetary policy update beliefs beliefs tendency news qualitatively qualitatively similar controls disclosure weakly increase increase welfare use data data survey survey professional forecasters compare compare point forecasts gdp gdp growth growth inflation inflation subjective distributions held held forecasters forecasters spf spf forecasters forecasters summarize summarize underlying distributions different who report survey tend fact point spf similar ask point
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The information on the author is retrieved from: Entity Facts (by DNB = German National Library data service), DBPedia and Wikidata
Jared Williams Biblio: Tätig an der Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern Univ.; Smeal College of Business, Penn State Univ., Pa., USA
Profession Economist
Affiliations Muma College of Business
Publishing years Series PBCSF-NIFR Research Paper (1) NBER Working Paper (1) Working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. (1) NBER working paper series (1) 
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