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forecasting modelshare pricecapital incometime series analysisoption pricing theorystock marketarch modellarch modelprice impactbehavioural financeindex futuresfinancial crisisportfolio managementportfolio selectioncommodity derivativechinese commoditychinese stock marketfinancial marketoption tradingvolatility forecastingrealized volatilitycomputer basedtreasury bondrole priceneural networksindex optionsrisk neutralÖffentliche anleihepublic bondeconomic forecastestimation theorymultivariate verteilungmultivariate distributionvar modellvar modelneuronale netzecontagion effectcredit riskmacroeconomic forecastsmarket volatilitybased tradingtrading institutionalinvestors treasurybond returnsmodeling predictionprediction rolefinancial contagionevidence chineseprices waveletfutures marketexchange rateswavelet methodbond expectedexpected returnssample stocksaugmented modelssensitivity analysisbayes statistikbayesian inferencekünstliche intelligenzartificial intelligenceyield curvecapital market returnsleading indicatormarket microstructurerisk measureinstitutional investorhigh technology
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