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Henzel, Steffen Wollmershäuser, Timo Carstensen, Kai Ulbricht, Dirk Hülsewig, Oliver Nierhaus, Wolfgang Abberger, Klaus Breuer, Christian Wohlrabe, Klaus Meister, Wolfgang Elstner, Steffen Stangl, Anna Paula, Georg Kleemann, Michael Hristov, Nikolay Buchen, Teresa Grimme, Christian Henzel, Steffen R. Sorbe, Stéphane Orazbayev, Sultan Gronwald, Marc Berg, Tim Oliver Garnitz, Johanna Meister, Wolfgang Paula, Georg Büttner, Thiess Elstner, Sven Hild, Reinhard All co-authors var ifo forecast forecasts forecasting sample empirical oil produktion prognoseverfahren models gesamtwirtschaftliche pooling model deutsche frühindikator log price area wirtschaft results quartal deutschland based konjunkturprognose real gdp information data paper economy steigen macroeconomic number terms accuracy institut saison versus level million answers expect unexpected multi economic euro rezession situation set use standard
Composed forecasting model var model var models gesamtwirtschaftliche produktion var modell leading indicator sample forecasts deutsche wirtschaft ifo konjunkturprognose terms forecast ifo institut log versus versus level level var forecasting million million empirical empirical answers answers expect expect unexpected euro area real gdp macroeconomic forecasting pseudo sample forecast accuracy reale bruttoinlandsprodukt expectation formation monte carlo simulation model based monte carlo pooling information use log log transformed transformed data data standard standard macroeconomic forecasting var models appropriateness appropriateness context context sample forecasts exposed exposed thorough thorough empirical empirical investigation investigation aim aim filling filling void void broad broad sample sample var models employed employed multi multi country approximately pseudo evaluated results results average average knee knee jerk jerk transformation transformation data data best best harmless large number ifo geschäftsklima area wide bayes statistik bayesian inference internationale konjunktur international business cycle var forecasting var forecast forecast pooling pooling dsge dsge model based monte carlo study kazakh economy model averaging forecast properties economic climate optimal pooling short term country set staatliche budgetdefizit vorweihnachtlichen prognose dsge modell oil price multi step area log
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The information on the author is retrieved from: Entity Facts (by DNB = German National Library data service), DBPedia and Wikidata
Johannes Mayr Dr. oec. publ. B: 1978 Mering Biblio: Eyb & Wallwitz Vermögensmanagement GmbH, München ; Diss. Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität, Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät
Profession Volkswirt
Affiliations Ifo-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Bayerische Landesbank
Publishing years Series Ifo working papers (5) Discussion papers / Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (1) DIW Berlin Discussion Paper (1) CESifo working papers (1) 
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