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economics of bankingÖffentliche anleihepublic bondinterest rate derivativetreasury futuresportfolio managementportfolio selectionbank managementmanagement managementmanagement bankingbanking uniquenessuniqueness communitycommunity banksbanks bankmanagement bankmanagement generalizedgeneralized modelmodel testingtesting homehome favoritefavorite teamteam advantageadvantage pointpoint spreadspread marketsmarkets changingchanging rolerole commercialcommercial banksbanks municipalmunicipal securitiessecurities marketmarket empiricalempirical evaluationevaluation treasuryfutures marketmarket efficiencyefficiency evidenceevidence forecastforecast efficiencyefficiency teststests marketmarket surveysurvey forecastsforecasts monthmonth treasurytreasury raterate testingtesting unbiasednessunbiasedness futuresfutures marketsmarkets clarificationclarification differencedifference dailydaily treasuryfutures contractcontract ratesrates impliedimplied forwardforward ratesrates usingusing futuresfutures improveimprove treasurytreasury portfolioportfolio performanceperformance performanceperformance betabeta forecastingforecasting portfolioportfolio returnsreturns bullbull bearbear marketsmarkets usingusing alternativealternative marketmarket proxiesproxieslarge bank1998 2002rational expectationsyield curve1977 1986
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