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option adjustedreturn predictabilityholding companiescross sectionalbook marketpredictive powercapital incomesingle responseresponse valuevalue elicitationdrug usestock returnforecasting modelstock marketadjusted spreadskalman filterstock exchangeempirical investigationbecker degrootdegroot marschakyork citycost capitalcapital structureholding companyvaluation experimentselicitation procedureprocedure initiatesinitiates incentivesubjects respondrespond truerandom bidbidding processconsumer researchcash flowoperating companieslow birthbirth weightportfolio methodtotal volatilityprice ratioshare priceexperimental investigationcredit riskdebt financingillicit druguse healthhealth analysisanalysis projectionsprojections newnew yorkcity birthbirth outcomesoutcomes usingusing kalmanfilter modeltaiwan stocksectional stockpredictability chinachinese sharesreal wagesrisk attributableattributable holdingrisk spreadsbond spreadsembedded optionsmethod usedincentive subjectscorporate bondadjusted spreadpaper providesemploying portfoliomethod crosssectional regressionsidiosyncratic volatilityflow pricemarket ratiolarge stocksyield curvecost of capitalstock exchange tradingstock return predictorsimpact processprocess misconceptionmisconception beckerusing ikea
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