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index futuresrisk premiumsex anteinflation riskconsumption basedindex linkedbehavioural financerisk attitude1987 1995ante realreal ratesrates inflationpremiums consumptionbased approachrelated inflationinflation uncertaintyrisk freeindexation lagpremium termdegree relativerelative riskrisk aversionprospect theoryportfolio managementportfolio selectionapproach overconfidentoverconfident investorsinvestors probabilityprobability misjudgmentsmisjudgments propertiesproperties utilityutility functionfunction marketmarket basedbased analysisanalysis decisiondecision makingmaking uncertaintyuncertainty fieldfield studystudy cumulativecumulative prospectprospect theoriestheories choicechoice riskrisk insightsinsights financialfinancial marketsmarkets moodmood impactsimpacts probabilityprobability weightingweighting functionsfunctions largelarge gamblegamble evidenceevidence economiceconomic hypotheticalhypothetical dictatordictator gamegame experimentsexperiments incentiveincentive effectseffects individualindividual levellevel projectionprojection biasbias investorsinvestors marketmarket approachapproach terrorterror tradetrade individualindividual investorsmood judgmentevidence indexindex optionoption marketabsolute relativemarkets expaper setscapm risknon indexfree bondbond causedsize timelag riskaversion
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